Still confused about who to support for the 2016 Election? Why not use some back-of-the-envelope statistics provided by Bwog, written by the all-seeing election guru Britt Fossum.
B-of-the-E Assumptions (based on Facebook):
- There are 304 likes on the “Columbia Students For Hillary” Facebook page. Assume the 84 likes on “CU Ready for Hillary” Page overlap completely.
- There are 271 likes on the “Columbia and Barnard for Bernie” Facebook page. Again, assume overlap with the other smaller Bernie pages.
- Assume that ⅓ of the Hillary likes are from 2015 and more recent efforts of her campaign and only ⅔ of her likes are from this time last year.
- Assume that all of the Bernie likes are from 2015
- Extrapolating from the number of my mutual friends who have liked both groups, assume an overlap of 138 likes, people who have liked both pages and did not rescind their Facebook support of Hillary’s campaign upon turning to the Bern
- Assume ~20 students are feelin’ the Bern so strongly that they unliked “Ready for Hillary” entirely
Mathemagic:
- (304)*(⅔)=202.6 rounded to 203 students who were “Ready for Hillary” in October 2015
- (138+20)=158, the number of students who were ready for Hillary last year
- 158/203= 78% of students who were ready for Hillary last year and are now suffering from 3rd degree Berns
Conclusions:
- Caveat: Bernie Sanders was not on the scene last year
- Hillary will probably still be our President in 2016
- Bernie is popular amongst the youths
- Politics is a game for opportunists
Political Cuties via Joseph Sohm / Shutterstock.com
2 Comments
@Anonymous Resigned to Hilary.
@Anonymous Biden