Columbia statistician/friend-of-Nate-Silver Andrew Gelman has resurfaced on everyone’s new favorite blog, FiveThirtyEight. 

Gelman uses FiveThirtyEight’s data to conclude that if Obama wins Virginia and it’s a close race in Indiana — both of which are looking increasingly likely — it’s literally a statistical certainty that Obama will win the race. Additionally, this means that the election will be essentially be over by 7 PM or so.