Fun Housing Facts!

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You said this would be fun

But what does my number mean? Once the school-wide distribution of lottery numbers was released yesterday, the answer to this became much clearer, sorta. Below, Bwog has broken down the numbers a bit to show how Housing 2011 differs from yesteryear. In response to your many queries and quandries, we offer some analysis of how this could impact selection.

With the help of the housing “calculator” by Blake Arnold, SEAS ’11, posted yesterday, and his version from last year, we’ve created the following table to break down how many groups there are of a certain size compared to 2010 group sizes.

Overall Breakdown of Groups

Group Size Number of Groups (2011) Number of Groups (2010) Difference
1 883 880 +3
2 312 278 +34
3 16 18 -2
4 101 109 -8
5 77 85 -8
6 86 64 +22
7 26 39 -13
8 46 39 +7

The takeaway here is obvious: this year saw a dramatic increase in 2- and 6-person groups. Things get even more interesting once we break these down by point value.

6-person Groups

Point Value Number of Groups (2011) Number of Groups (2010) Difference
30 36 47 -11
20-29 15 5 +10
10-19 35 12 +23

The rise in 6-person groups could be attributed to sophomores (or groups with sophomores in them). These groups are likely gunning for Ruggles 6-person suites and were probably encouraged by last year’s absurd cutoff of 10/1763. However, this cutoff was probably an anomaly, especially if you consult the 2009 cutoff of 30/2781. 5-person Ruggles suites were converted to 6-person suites last year, to the chagrin of many 5-person junior/senior groups that had already formed and pleasant surprise of 6-person sophomore groups.

The surge in sophomore 6’s can also help explain the drop in 7-person groups. There are 21 7-person sophomore groups. Last year, there were 37. A similar rise in junior 6-person groups can probably be explained with similar reasoning: they think the Ruggles 6-person is easier than it actually is.

Seniors seem to have it pretty good this year though. With 36 all-senior 6-person groups and 28 6-person EC townhouses eligible for Suite Selection (see note below), even groups with worse lottery numbers have a decent shot at that coveted all-single townhouse (22 available). So this leaves the question… where did all the seniors go?

    2-person Groups

    Point Value Number of Groups (2011) Number of Groups (2010) Difference
    30 119 79 +40
    20-29 90 94 -4
    10-19 103 105

    The seniors went here, absurdly increasing the number of 30-point 2-person groups. This will probably make Woodbridge more competitive than usual (sigh), and this may well run over into Watt (sigh).

      It’s difficult to pinpoint where all these seniors are coming from. A likely scenario is that seniors are forming pairs instead of 6- or 5-person groups (47 vs 54 last year). Since, you know, people don’t talk to each other anymore and stuff. If we assume all these former 6- and 5-person groups formed 2-person groups, we have well over 40 new 2-person groups.


      So what does this all mean? Well, we don’t know for sure, and we won’t truly know until Suite Selection actually happens (John Jay Lounge, next Tuesday! Won’t you join us?). Groups with very good lottery numbers will still drop into General, where things always tend to be unpredictable.

      Also remember that certain rooms are ineligible for Room Selection. The Space Held Out of Lottery is reserved for Special Interest Housing, RAs, and other students with special circumstances. The exact rooms and suites often go through changes, so check that page often.

      We don’t claim to know everything Housing, and all we did here was present the hard numbers and offer up some opinions on what we think might happen. We encourage everyone to play the numbers game themselves, and help each other out in the comments! Love thy peers, especially if you have a number less than 1000.

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      1. THIS  

        is what I'm talking about. excellent work bwog.

      2. facebook overload  

        I just tried to like this post.

      3. Anonymous  

        are the watt studio singles spacious? says 170 sq. ft. but is that for the entire room (incl. kitchen, bathroom)

      4. Anonymous  

        for the senior groups of 2: woodbridge vs. watt? help!

      5. Anonymous  

        what has historically happened during senior regroup?

      6. Junior group of 2  

        :( do I have any chance at woodbridge?

        • Woodbridge Resident  

          I live in woodbridge and i'm a junior! You need to have a really good number. Last year I was in the 500's and got in. This year is going to be harder because of all the groups of 2.

      7. Hey Bwog,  

        you guys should make a guide for sophomores doing suite selection for the first time. That way they won't take up time by trying to figure out the process there.

      8. Anonymous

        The dramatic rise in 2-person senior groups probably came from this year's removal of EC exclusion suites and a large number of risk-adverse seniors who want to maintain their 30 pt number. Another possibility is that those who would otherwise form 2-senior, 1-junior ECX groups were forced to look at other options due to having an unappealing point value of 20.

      9. Thinking Ahead  

        In a group of two now as a rising junior. Screwed as hell. I want to be in a group of six next year as a rising senior. Screwed as hell again, because evcryone is going to notice the lack of Senior 6-person groups and the number will go back up. ARGH.

      10. Wow  

        Great job housing, seniors obviously wanted to live in EC exclusion suites SO badly.

      11. bwog

        this is most excellent. also a word to the wise: people freak out whenever they see that a lot of people picked a certain size group one year, and then no one picks it next year. tons of 5-person groups this year = tons of 6-persons next year. watch ya backs, juniors!

      12. As a rising sophomore...   a 6-person group, I can tell you we never seriously thought we had a chance at the Ruggles suite (though it was a nice fantasy). Our plan is to split into McBain doubles near each other at Suite Selection, since we are all friends in the group. This is what the housing people encouraged sophomores to do, and that's what we did. It's as simple as that.

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